The emerging trend highlights the difficulty of relying on Trump’s governance strategy to secure the most vulnerable while young and healthy people return to work and school. This approach poses a risk of virus transmission when two or three generations share the same house and when many low-income workers have no choice but to boldly expose themselves to their work.
Young adults are important workers who can return home to their parents and grandparents. High school and college children can exhibit teachers, parents and grandparents.
Doctors sooner or later said that most older people and those with underlying health problems mingle with the younger generation.
“We think when Texas opened, on May 1, they were young people walking to bars and restaurants, around and around, gathering socially,” said Pat Herlihy, head of critical care at Baylor St. Medical Center. Luke in Houston. “Now I assume that they deal with larger families, they take care of 60- to 70-year-olds – parents of uncles, aunts. They are much more involved with this vulnerable population. “
In ethnically diverse parts of the solar belt, where the number of cases is rising rapidly, it is home to more multigenerational families living together than other parts of the United States. According to an analysis of census data from the Pew Research Center in 2016, a record 64 million people lived in homes with at least two adult generations or grandparents and grandchildren under the age of 25 – about 20 percent of the U.S. population.
This is even more true for Hispanics, who have large populations in Florida, the Southwest, and California. About 27 percent live in multigenerational households. This number is similar for black people (26 percent) and Asians (29 percent), Pew found.
It is not possible to know how anyone gets the coronavirus, and when community transmission spreads across the Sun Belt, people can become infected in a variety of ways. The discussion on intergenerational transmission thus involves certain speculations, as well as epidemiological modeling and research.
To date, more than 4.2 million people in the United States have been infected with the covid-19 virus and more than 145,000 people have died. The number of new cases in the US last week was around 70,000 every day, with deaths exceeding 1,000 in four direct days. In Florida and California, on some days, they set their own death records, with more than 100 in each state.
In an honest story that appeared around the world, she arrived in Florida earlier this month to say she believes she was infected by her 21-year-old stepson, her husband and their two younger children after spending time. with friends who were not wearing masks or distancing themselves.
His father, 42-year-old John Place, spent 18 days on a ventilator before doctors were able to shut him down nearly two weeks ago, said Michelle Zymet of Plantation, Florida. But Place is still seriously ill, hospitalized and suffering from the debilitating effects of covid-19, Zymet said.
“I begged him every day,” Zymet said of her stepson. “I was that maniac.” “Please wear a mask. Hand disinfectant. Social distance. “”
Younger adults need to understand that “you don’t live in a bubble,” she said. “You have to think of everyone in the community. Don’t think about yourself. “
In a post on her Facebook page, Zymet also said that she “did not try to fool my stepson or blame him immensely. … He feels terrible for what happened and wants others not to make the same mistake as him! “
On Monday, the White House announced that National Security Adviser Robert C. O’Brien had contracted the coronavirus. O’Brien probably caught the virus from his daughter, said chief economic adviser Larry Kudlow. No further details are available.
Experts note that younger people are disproportionately asymptomatic when infected, so some may not know they are bringing it home.
Peter Paige, chief physician for Miami at the Jackson Health System, said a month ago about 40 percent of the people hospitalized for covid-19 in the three facilities of the system were 65 or older. Now that share has climbed to about 55 percent.
About 60 to 65 percent of people currently dying on covid-19 are in this age range – a figure that is close to the first days of a pandemic.
Jackson, meanwhile, has 85 to 90 percent of patients with 19 patients under the age of 65 in Jackson’s emergency departments, Paige said. Many may not be accepted.
“There seems to be a lot more positivity in the younger population, but there seem to be a lot of deaths in this high-risk population,” he said.
Mayors of Miami, Miami-Dade County and Broward County have said in recent days that household relocation has become a critical factor in the area’s outbreak.
“I would tell our residents … that they should consider, especially if they have a multi-generational household, sometimes wear masks indoors … and also respect social distance when they are at home,” said Miami Mayor Miami Suarez (R). conference last week.
Miami-Dade Mayor Carlos A. Giménez (R) also called on people to distance themselves from family members who can transmit the virus without appearing ill.
“Yes, I know it’s a victim,” he said, “but do it because just because it’s your son or your daughter or your cousin or your mother or your father doesn’t mean they aren’t.” I have no covid. “
The latest research on household transmission is mixed. Researchers who studied household contacts in Guangzhou, China, in January and February estimate that close relatives living in the same house gave the virus to 12.4 percent of their family members. According to a survey published last month in Lancet Infectious Diseases.
However, a separate statistical analysis of eight European countries earlier this month in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences found no convincing evidence that intergenerational relations affected the spread or severity of the pandemic in these places.
In Tennessee, data analyzed by John Graves, an associate professor of health policy at Vanderbilt University School of Medicine, showed an increase in infections among young adults in the Nashville and Memphis areas. Graves attributed the increase to this age group returning to downtown bars when weaning slowed and later to the Fourth of July Assembly.
Now, data are beginning to suggest that older adults have also become infected.
“What this suggests is that the initial vaccination is now beginning to spread to older generations,” he said.
This trend is not universal. In Los Angeles, where there is a huge increase in cases, the outbreak appears to be still concentrated among younger adults, said Neha Nanda, medical director of infection prevention and antimicrobial surveillance at Keck Medicine of USC.
The median age of people admitted to regional hospitals during the first increase was about 60 years, while it is between 35 and 40 years. Many young adults with covid-19 are sent home from emergency departments and test sites because their symptoms are mild, she said.
“I don’t think it’s happening yet,” Nanda said of older adults appearing in hospitals. “I would not rule out this possibility.”